Local voting system warping our politics: Study finds over 100 councils plagued with disproportionate or wrong winner results

Posted on the 29th July 2019

  • Statement from the Electoral Reform Society, strictly embargoed Monday July 29th 
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Campaigners have warned of a ‘crisis of legitimacy’ for local elections in England, with the most detailed analysis of May’s elections yet revealing widespread disproportionality and absurd ‘wrong winner’ results. 

In analysis published to mark 15 years since the introduction of proportional representation for Scottish local elections [1], the ERS have revealed a stark gap between the fairness of representation in Scotland and England.

In 115 English councils this May, a single party won over half the council seats up for election, despite getting fewer than half the votes in the area. This represents nearly half of all councils (46%) where local elections took place in England this year. In the most extreme case the Conservative Party took all of the seats up for election on Havant Council with just 43.9% of the vote.

In the Scottish local elections in 2017 using the Single Transferable Vote no council saw a party get more than half the seats with less than half the first preference votes.

In addition, in 17 English councils this May, the party with the largest number of votes did not secure the most seats creating ‘wrong winner’ results – a ‘damning indictment of England’s woefully out-dated voting system’, according to the ERS.

In the analysis published ahead of a new comprehensive report on elections in Britain the ERS show: 

Disproportionality 

In 115 of the 248 councils holding elections in May 2019, a party won more than 50% of the seats with less than 50% of the vote.

See the top ten most disproportionate council results (those with the largest percentage gap between votes and seats) [bottom of PR]

Wrong winners

In 17 of the 248 councils holding elections in May 2019, the party with the most votes did not win the most seats.

See below for a full list of wrong winners [bottom of PR]

In addition, there were 150 uncontested seats – won without an election taking place [2] Those seats have not been included in this analysis.

Jess Garland, Director of Policy and Research at the Electoral Reform Society, said:

“This research shows how our broken electoral system is distorting local election results. First Past the Post is delivering skewed results in over a hundred councils across the country meaning many voters’ voices are unheard.

“England continues to rely on this disproportionate system for local elections, where only the votes for the top candidate to ‘get over the line’ secure representation – all others are ignored. Spread out over thousands of contests, this can lead to some parties being drastically over- or under-represented.

“In comparison, Scotland legislated to use the more proportional Single Transferable Vote. Since 2004, voters rank candidates by preference and ‘surplus’ votes are redistributed according to voters’ choices. Most advanced democracies use proportional systems where seats more closely reflect parties’ share of the vote.

“It’s time we ended the broken first-past-the-post system in England – a system that continues to warp our politics. A more proportional system would help open local democracy and make sure all voters’ voices are heard.”

Top ten most disproportionate results

Overall Top 10 over-representedParty over-representedCouncil controlVotes for party (%)Seats for party (%)Gap (%)
HavantCONCON43.9100.056.1
RedditchCONCON40.590.049.5
City of LincolnLABLAB44.590.946.4
TamesideLABLAB46.289.543.2
SandwellLABLAB58.5100.041.5
EastleighLIB DEMLIB DEM52.192.340.2
WiganLABLAB41.480.038.6
ManchesterLABLAB58.597.038.4
TamworthCONCON42.480.037.6
SalfordLABLAB41.678.937.3

In no Scottish council did any one party receive more than 50% of the seats or 50% of first preference votes.

The full report: ‘The English Local Elections Audit 2019’ will be published in August.

Full list of wrong winners

CouncilParty with the most votesPercentage votesPercentage seatsParty with the most seatsPercentage votesPercentage seats
ArunCON4239LIB DEM3041
BasildonCON4336LAB2443
BedfordCON3128LIB DEM3138
BlackpoolCON4436LAB4455
Brighton & HoveGREEN3635LAB3537
ChelmsfordCON4137LIB DEM4054
Cheshire West & ChesterCON3940LAB3750
CotswoldCON4241LIB DEM4253
GraveshamCON4141LAB4055
Kingston-upon-HullLIB DEM4347LAB4053
LewesGREEN2822CON2746
PortsmouthLIB DEM2840CON2647
South OxfordshireCON3528LIB DEM2533
South RibbleCON4544LAB3546
Southend-on-SeaCON2724LAB/IND21/2429/29
Stockton-on-TeesCON3325LAB3343
Stoke-on-TrentCON3534LAB3336

ENDS

Notes to Editors

[1] The Bill introducing the Single Transferable Vote for local elections received Royal Assent on the 29th July 2004: https://www.parliament.scot/parliamentarybusiness/Bills/25034.aspx

[2] https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/latest-news-and-research/media-centre/press-releases/local-elections-cancelled-across-england-as-hundreds-of-uncontested-seats-captured-by-parties-before-polling-day/

More info on STV here: https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/voting-systems/types-of-voting-system/single-transferable-vote/

Full local council election results are available through Democracy Club’s Candidate Database at https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk/uk_results/

Data on Scottish local elections taken from The Electoral Commission’s report: Bochel and Denver (2017) ‘Report on Scottish Council elections’. https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/233671/2017-Scottish-Council-elections-Report.pdf

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